Are you supposed to win your home state?
President Obama's got essentially two home states: Illinois and Hawai'i.
In both, he's so far comfortably ahead, no one's bothering to conduct presidential polls there. In Illinois, the last poll conducted in February showed Obama up 21 points. In Hawai'i, it's not even a question, with the last poll conducted last October showing Obama with a 27 point lead.
So what about Mitt? Mitt's got two basic home states: Michigan and Massachusetts.
In Michigan he might be in a tight race, but no one really knows because some older polls show him double-digits behind Obama, and the conservative Rasmussen Reports last showed Mitt down by 8 points. In Massachusetts, Obama's up and has been up big, as in 16 points, big, but again, if you look at Rasmussen's numbers, Obama's up by 21.
Well, you say, of course he's behind in Massachusetts because they're all bleeding liberals up there. But Brown and Warren are locked in a very tight race for a senate seat, and after all he was popularly voted into the governor's mansion in 2002 by nearly a 5 point margin. Maybe no one recalls, but even in a bleeding liberal state like Hawai'i, Republican Linda Lingle was a two-term governor!
So what does this say, if the one-time governor of Massachusetts is down by as much as 21 points, to Obama? Ouch! When the people who know you best don't like you as much as the other guy, that has to hurt the ego.
Wait, where do you think Mitt's going to hold his general election party at...Utah?
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