I've been reading lately about how lots of people are upset that, one by one, President Obama's initiatives have been either failing or about to fail, specifically firearms regulation, replacing the sequester, and now the immigration bill. But everyone's got it wrong.
You see, by bringing compromise bills only to have them rejected (by failing to reach a filibuster-proof vote), Republican have set themselves up for disaster in 2014.
The firearms regulation failures will spark a reaction in states that have recently tightened or tried to tighten regulations: Colorado, New Mexico, New York and Maryland (Connecticut doesn't count because it's all in on Democratic representation).
The failure to replace the sequester will hit Republicans in states with large military appropriations: Alaska, Virginia, West Virginia, California, Texas, Arizona, Florida, North Carolina, South Carolina, Maryland, New York.
The failure to pass an immigration reform bill will punish Republicans in Texas, Arizona, Florida, California, Colorado, New Mexico, Nevada, Georgia and New Jersey.
Now obviously there is overlap, and where that overlap occurs, Republicans will be targeted because of their vulnerability to multiple issues.
The coup de grace, if it occurs, will be this Summer's hostage taking of the debt ceiling. Following the IMF's paper showing that austerity does not work as advertised, and the Rogoff-Reinhart disaster, Republicans will be crushed by the weight of their far-right dogma, if they do not run to the middle.
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