How I know Congress will not increase the debt ceiling by August 2.

That Cap, Cut and Balance bill I wrote about earlier, has gone from 17 co-sponsors last week, to 31 co-sponsors in the Senate, and has about two-dozen Tea-Party groups (mix of national and local) signed on as sponsors.  They even have a Forbes blogger behind them.  Of course, the Tea Party absolutely won't allow Congress to cut a deal, no matter what.

Which I think is perfectly summed up by Chan Lowe's political cartoon from this past Monday.