Saturday, November 17, 2012

Week 12 PAC-12 predictions.

Last week: 5 - 1
Overall: 51 - 26

We're almost at the end of the season, and it did not turn out anywhere close to where I thought it would be. USC's season is now focused on winning out and getting to the Rose Bowl, but to do that, they have to beat UCLA, Notre Dame and Oregon in the PAC-12 Championship.  If they make it to the PAC-12 championship but do not win, they will probably lose out on an at-large bid for the Rose Bowl to either Stanford or Oregon State.

Meanwhile upstart Bruins have turned journalists into giddy gurls, hoping to get an invite to the prom.  While  criticism pours in on USC's lack of discipline -- resulting in ranking 119th in penalties -- what escapes these same critics is that UCLA is ranked 120th in both penalties and penalty yards.  If Mora brought back discipline, surely they wouldn't be ranked dead last in the FBS in both penalties and penalty yards.

In the last two weeks, USC's discipline on penalties has been a remarkable turnaround, with just 7 penalties total.  Meanwhile UCLA has gotten worse, with 25 penalties in the last two games.  I think this trend continues on Saturday; I think UCLA kicks itself in the rear end and screws up their chances.

The other games:

  • WSU might give ASU a bit of a scare, but ASU is still heads and shoulders better.
  • UW might have a meltdown against Colorado, but the Buffs really, really suck.
  • I am supremely confident that that Arizona will lose badly to Utah because Arizona has done poorly when on the road; it doesn't really matter if Matt Scott is playing.
  • Oregon State's losses have all come on the road while Cal's lone road win was at WSU, so it figures that Cal will not put up much of a challenge at Reser Stadium.
  • And no way does Stanford's #1 run defense stop a complete Oregon team; Stanford's two losses were on the road against mediocre offenses (UW and ND), and Oregon has been crazy on offense this year.  This is a runaway.


Week 12
VisitorHome
Washington 35 Colorado 17
Washington State 24 Arizona State 32
Stanford 20 Oregon 55
Arizona 17 Utah 32
USC 32 UCLA 21
California 13 Oregon State 28

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