Thursday, November 1, 2012

Restore Our Future makes ad buy in Oregon...Oregonians laugh.

Just saw one of their ads.

Please, by all means, buy more ads here.  Use millions of your money in Oregon!

Republicans are desperate, realizing they do not have enough electoral college numbers, I think.

The latest national and state-level polls are showing everything leaning towards an Obama win.  Nate Silver now gives Obama nearly 80% odds of winning, while Betfair, InTrade and the Iowa Electronic Markets are showing growing odds of an Obama win.

Further, RCP's aggregate now has Obama with a 0.1 percentage point advantage, but it marks a 2 pp change from just a week ago.  If you look at Karl Rove's latest map (ignore the analysis), if the election were held today, Obama would win; same thing holds with HuffPo's electoral map.

Or as I have said months ago, Mitt can't help but be Mitt, and Mitt is going to lose.

Whether it was his criticism of FEMA, only to find FEMA front and center the week before the elections, coordinating national guard and military help from around the country, or his Pants on Fire lie about GM and Chrysler jobs moving to China, Mitt can't escape his unforced errors.

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