Wednesday, April 3, 2013

The winds of war are blowing.

Don't laugh, but I wasted spent half a day compiling all this data from across a wide swath of news sources.  PLEASE do not assume that there is any moral equivalence in actions, or that this is a tit-for-tat timeline.  Aside from the gossip news, much of the relevant highlights started last July, but I really think this whole conflict's genesis is the death of Jong-Il Kim, and how Jong-Un Kim has handled himself (or manipulated).

I give you a timeline of events that might be leading us down a road to war:

The Road to War ?
12-11-2011 Death of Jong-Il Kim
07-02-2012 North Korea’s Jong-Un reportedly loosens restrictions and allows women to wear pants, earrings, platform shoes, and ends bans on hamburgers, fries, pizzas.
South Korea’s Unification Minister remarks that there are signs that North Korea may be changing. 07-25-2012
07-30-2012 North Korea rebukes any suggestion that it is opening up or changing.
08-02-2012 North Korea requests emergency aid following devastating floods that left over a hundred people dead and tens of thousands homeless.
The Institute for Science and International Security issues a report stating that in a worst-case scenario, North Korea could have 48 nuclear weapons by 2016. 08-30-2012
09-10-2012 North Korea accepts aid from South Korea, following a cyclone that left several dozen dead and tens of thousands homeless.
09-20-2012 North Korea and Iran announce a nuclear technology pact.
South Korea announces that it has reached an agreement with the US to extend the range of its ballistic missiles. 10-07-2012
10-09-2012 North Korea says that its missiles can reach Japan, Guam and the US mainland.
President Obama, speaking in Burma, says, “To the leadership of North Korea, I have offered a choice: let go of your nuclear weapons and choose the path of peace and progress. If you do, you will find an extended hand from the United States of America.” 11-19-2012
12-01-2012 North Korea announces plans to launch rocket to space, as soon as Dec. 10th.
US sends warships to the region to track and, if necessary, defend against a rocket launch. 12-07-2012
Japan announces that it will shoot down any rocket if it threatens to land on Japanese soil.
12-07-2012
12-10-2012 North Korea temporarily halts rocket launch, due to a glitch; states it will still go ahead with a launch.
12-12-2012 North Korea launches a payload into space, demonstrating long-range rocket capabilities previously not known to exist.
UN Security Council unanimously approves a resolution condemning North Korea’s rocket launch in December.
01-22-2013
01-24-2013 North Korea issues warning that it will perform a nuclear test and point weapons at the US.
South Korea issues warning to North Korea over conducting any nuclear tests. 01-31-2013
02-05-2013 North Korea issues video showing New York in flames.
02-12-2013 North Korea performs nuclear test.
02-19-2013 North Korea threatens South Korea’s “final destruction”.
02-20-2013 North Korea issues video showing flames over US and SK troops and President Obama.
US announces dates for annual Foal Eagle and Key Resolve joint US-SK military exercises (March 1 - April 30). 02-21-2013
02-23-2013 North Korea issues threats of destruction in response to Foal Eagle and Key Resolve exercises.
Foal Eagle and Key Resolve exercises begin. 03-01-2013
03-05-2013 North Korea warns it may cancel the 1953 Armistice to the Korean War, suspending activities at the Panmunjom truce village and severing the Red Cross phone line between nations.
South Korea says that NK’s current military exercises may provoke the South into action. 03-07-2013
Unanimous UN Security Council vote for additional NK sanctions stemming from nuclear test in February. 03-07-2013
03-11-2013 North Korea cuts off Red Cross phone line.
03-12-2013 North Korea’s media reports that Jong-Un Kim told troops to be on “maximum alert” because “war can break out right now”.
US flies B-52 nuclear-capable bombers over South Korea as part of Foal Eagle exercise. 03-20-2013
03-20-2013 North Korea stages drone attack on a simulated South Korean target, supervised by Jong-Un Kim.
03-20-2013 A computer virus wipes out computers in a coordinated attack on South Korean banks, televisions stations and other sites.
03-21-2013 North Korea turns on air sirens for an hour, placing its forces on high alert.
UN Human Rights Council unanimously passes a resolution to investigate human rights violations in North Korea, over starvation, torture and the execution / jailing of political prisoners. 03-21-2013
03-22-2013 North Korea condemns UN investigation and says it will ignore it.
03-27-2013 North Korea cuts off military phone line that was used to coordinate operations of Kaesong complex.
US announces that B-2 stealth bombers participated in Foal Eagle, including bombing runs with dummy munitions. 03-28-2013
03-29-2013 North Korea announces a decision to point missiles at South Korea, Guam and the US.
03-30-2013 North Korea states that it is in a state of war and that it, “will not be limited to a local war, but develop into an all-out war, a nuclear war.”
03-31-2013 North Korea’s Worker’s Party Central Committee states that its nuclear program is non-negotiable.
US sends F-22 fighter jets to participate in Foal Eagle exercise. 04-01-2013
04-02-2013 North Korea blocks access into Kaesong, the joint industrial complex (in 2009 NK blocked access three times during the annual US-SK joint military exercises.)
04-02-2013 North Korea announces it will restart its plutonium reactor.
04-03-2013 China is seen moving some military units to the border with North Korea in possible anticipation of a flood of refugees.
04-03-2013 North Korea’s army says that it has received approval to launch attacks against the US.
US announces it is moving mobile radar tracking and anti-missile systems to Guam.

04-03-2013

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