Strategizing the election

Hillary/Richardson vs. McCain/Paul:

• Hillary wins over women, Latino and white liberals. Many blacks stay at home to protest Obama not being on the ticket. Catholics lean towards Hillary/Richardson.
  
• McCain wins over white males and splits the Independents, Protestants stay at home.
  
• Winner: Hillary/Richardson 51 - 48

Hillary/Obama vs. McCain/Jodi Rell:

• Hillary splits the latino and women's vote, wins the black vote by a wide margin. Most Independents move to McCain. Catholic vote split, Baptists definitively vote for Hillary/Obama.
  
• McCain wins white males, gains over 50% of the latino vote, gets into the ballpark of 50% of the women's vote. Protestants turn out as expected (high).
  
• Winner: McCain/Rell 51 - 48

Obama/Richardson vs. McCain/Paul:

• Obama wins handily the black vote, gains over 50% of the latino and women's vote. Catholics lean towards Obama/Richardson, Baptists come out in droves.
  
• McCain wins over Independents and white males in large margin, barely loses the latino and women's vote.
  
• Winner:McCain/Paul 53 - 46

Obama/Napolitano vs. McCain/Bobby Jindal:

• Obama wins the women's and black vote, loses the Independents, gains over 50% of the Latino vote. Catholics split evenly, Baptists heavily vote in favor.
  
• McCain definitely wins the Independents, splits the youth, handily wins the Protestants (though many will stay home), splits but loses the Latino vote.
  
• Winner:Too close to call.

Of course if Obama wins, I think Bloomberg enters the competition and splits the vote evenly with most Moderates and Independents voting for Bloomberg. The man has more money (over $11 billion) than what either candidate can possibly hope to raise.
Obama: 30 / Bloomberg: 38 / McCain: 31