Monday, March 20, 2017

Gallup Polling: Donald is Super....Unpopular

On Sunday, the most recent Gallup daily presidential tracking poll grabbed a lot of eyeballs when it showed Donald's disapproval suddenly shooting up.

That number will fluctuate quite a bit, but the main takeaway is that this guy is simply unpopular out of the gate, which is unprecedented. Reviewing Gallup's 72-year history of presidential approval / disapproval numbers, Donald blows past everyone else at his point in the Oval Office (give or take two weeks).

The question everyone seems to be asking online: How long before he is removed from office? Months ago, I really thought he'd implode by the time the Ides of March came around, but I failed to take into account the intransigence of party loyalty and just how many Americans are willing to wait for Godot. I remain convinced that once his disapproval number reaches 60% and is established as the floor of his disapproval rate, party loyalty will go by the wayside and his administration will collapse.

Take note that his doubling-down on the lie about Obama ordering wiretaps against him can only end in two ways: (1) Being called a liar by members of his own party or (2) Forced to admit to a mistake. Since we know (2) is unlikely, thus, his own party will be forced to call him out as a liar. This should push him into the 60% range of disapproval, not simply because Republicans call him out for lying, but for his reflex-like response of attacking them back.

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