Thursday, March 30, 2017

5 Thoughts on Mike Flynn Seeking Immunity

Wow. I wasn't going to comment on this until more information came out, but I do have five quick observations on the revelation that Mike Flynn is seeking immunity.

  1. First!: It was only a matter of time that someone would reach out for immunity, but I didn't think Mike Flynn would be first. With all of the growing public evidence against Paul Manafort, I was certain that he would be first. Of all people, Manafort had the most damning public evidence against him and it was all coming out in an avalanche of late. Now, everyone will be watching to see if there's a rush of people looking to get their own immunity deals. Remember, the FBI wants to reach the top of the conspiracy ring and that guy is likely Donald.
  2. Hypocrisy: Everyone is seizing on Mike Flynn's hypocrisy for laying out the argument last year that innocent people don't seek out immunity, only to end up seeking immunity. That's the price you pay for gambling in politics, right?
  3. Distraction Fingers: Watch over the next 24 hours as Donald's most ardent supporters come out swinging by pointing the distraction finger away from Mike Flynn's admission of seeking immunity. In particular, the world will be paying attention to Donald's Twitter account. Right now the White House has gone completely silent -- are they devising a strategy of distraction? You know that this blockbuster of a story is driving Donald crazy and he's itching to respond.
  4. The GOP Camps: I've pored through a handful of conservative outlets to see how they're responding, and there are roughly 4 camps: (1) The angry crowd; (2) The "it's all fake news" denial folks; (3) The people in despair; (4) The Schadenfreude group. It's quite fascinating to see the GOP at war with itself, practically mirroring the Trumpcare infighting.
  5. What the FBI Knows: No matter what we publicly know, it should be obvious to most people that the FBI knows a heck of a lot more than has been revealed. If they reject his initial request for immunity, it is likely a signal of confidence that they can catch most everyone else without Flynn divulging any secrets. But if they do accept, it could possibly mean that he's got the info that would secure a conviction of the ring leader -- again, the guy most likely at the top is Donald.

No comments: