Thursday, September 29, 2016

Most Likely to Cause Nuclear War

PPP just released a battleground states poll. One question that caught my eye was which candidate was "more likely to cause a nuclear war". The results aren't surprising.

The way I read this poll, however, is that Donald's ceiling of GOP support stands at 81% (100% - 19%) and Hillary's Democratic ceiling is 92% (100% - 8%). Why? Because only an insane person would simultaneously say that Candidate A was more likely to cause a nuclear war and vote for Candidate A. Although it must be said that some of those Evangelicals are a little crazy with their constant desire to bring about the end of times.

Applying the same logic again, but against all voters, we can see that Donald's general election ceiling is 47% (100% - 53%) and Hillary's is 69% (100% - 31%). And in fact, there hasn't been a single 4-way poll showing Donald reaching 47%; his highest was 45%.

Bottom line: Unless a majority of Americans are crazy, there's no way Donald wins.

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