Here's where it gets interesting. Yellen is a lot like Ben Bernanke, and was instrumental in the design of the QE program. That makes her a dove, whereas Larry Summers has recently come out downplaying QE's effects, making him more hawkish than Yellen.
So look at the order of preference by those Wall Street insiders:
Janet Yellen | 50.0% |
Ben Bernanke | 12.5% |
John Taylor | 12.5% |
Glenn Hubbard | 7.5% |
Roger Ferguson | 5.0% |
Larry Summers | 2.5% |
Martin Feldstein | 2.5% |
Paul Volcker | 2.5% |
Steve Liesman | 2.5% |
Don't know/unsure | 2.5% |
There are a couple of very hawkish economists (Taylor and Hubbard) and a hawkish dove (Summers) behind Yellen and Ben Bernanke. The first observation is that Wall Street would prefer a more hawkish stance, but that it prefers stability over all else...even if it means forcing Ben Bernanke to stay on, against his will.
Another observation is that Wall Street just really doesn't like Larry Summers, even if he's in the top-2 list of candidates and Obama's likely favorite.
After having read about and watched Frontline's coverage of Summers (and the Rubin gang) dismissive of the warnings against dismantling Glass-Steagall, I can't say that I disagree with the anti-Summers. When you're on the wrong side of an argument that results in the near-collapse of the economy, you shouldn't get a second chance to screw up: Fool me once, shame on you; fool me twice, shame on me.
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