Scott Bessent's Bond Buyback Expansion, Explained

What are the mechanics of Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's bond buyback expansion?

Let's say, as a portfolio manager (could be anyone interested in holding long term bonds, but portfolio manager seems most relatable), you're holding onto 30-year Treasury bonds in multiple retirement funds, and at the time you bought them, their rates were below what they were today (in the chart, any portion of the blue line that is in the red). Well shoot, you'd want to dump your lower-rate 30 year bonds for brand new ones with higher rates, right? But the problem is, not a lot of people are willing to buy your bonds at a decent price.

That's where the "liquidity" argument enters. In order to make these lower rate "off the run" (which simply means not current ones being auctioned off) long bonds liquid, you need a buyer -- the US Treasury.

Chart showing 30 year bond rates, in the last 30 years (meaning they're still paying interest), showing a steady decline from above 7%, until hitting bottom at the height of COVID shutdowns, and since then, accelerated to the current 5.25% rate. A horizontal area in red indicates where the rates of older bonds are now lower than the current rate.

In doing so, the Treasury is trying to stimulate current auctions of 30-year bonds in order to drive down rates. More buyers = higher price = lower rates.

Did you know that Bessent's announcement of expanded bond buybacks had an end date? Guess what it is.

November 4, 2026 -- the day after the midterm elections.

Now, think about the consequences of buying back lower-rate bonds and selling new ones at higher rates. Bessent is temporarily trying to lower rates before the elections, while raising the average interest rate payments on debt.

THAT is why you should be mad. Bessent is executing a naked political ploy to benefit Republicans and Trump at the expense of America's future.

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