A reminder why Donald is going to lose

According to the most recent US Census estimate (July 2015), the demographics of the US are as follows:

• Non-Hispanic White = 61.6%
• Hispanic White = 15.5%
• Black / African-American = 13.3%
• Asians, Native Hawaiian, Pacific Islanders = 5.8%
• Males, Non-Hispanic White = 30.4%

Assuming you want to win a national election, winning the non-Hispanic White male vote at the expense of all the other groups, is probably not the way to go. 

If 100% of non-Hispanic White males voted for you, your opponent would merely need to win 72% of the remaining demographics. The odds of you winning 100% of your demographic compared to your opponent winning 72% are conversely lower than your opponent's.

Now, consider that your opponent has already locked in at least 90% of the Black / African-American vote (in reality it's closer to 99%), that leaves your opponent with having to win just 68% of the remaining demographics to beat you. Your odds of winning are even lower than you initially hoped for.

In the real world, you're not getting anything close to the 100% of the non-Hispanic White male vote; instead, it's closer to 65%. This vastly lowers your odds of winning.

Now, imagine what happens when polls continually oversample your sole demographic -- non-Hispanic White males -- and you're still losing.

And folks, that's why Donald is going to lose.