This is an expansion of an item from my previous post. California's Secretary of State shows that 100% of precincts have reported in, so I thought I'd update the data (minor changes) to reflect the final outcome.
By comparing California counties using the 2014 Census data and the final SoS voting results, you can see that there is a pretty good correlation between the percentage of Latinos in a county and how wide of a gap Clinton had with Sanders. Correlation coefficient =
0.63, so a pretty good correlation.
On
CNN's map of the counties, you can roughly see this effect in play, where the northern-most, rural counties that are mostly non-Latino / Hispanic Whites, were generally Bernie Sanders' best counties.
This portends greatly for the November general election, as we now clearly see that Latinos already strongly favor Clinton. Against Donald, it's far more probable that Latinos will flock even further to Clinton. This matters most in the swing states.
On average, these states show a 1 percentage point increase in the percentage of Latino population. Imagine the impact Republican NM Governor Susana Martinez made, when she rejected Donald's candidacy on the basis of his entrenched racism. Suddenly, it makes you wonder if Texas is in play. We know Arizona is definitely in play with Senator John McCain struggling this early in polls.
The confluence of Donald and the Latino vote is going to make the general election a most interesting challenge for the Republican Party!
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